Centre Left wins In Brazil, USA and New Zealand?
19
Ṁ1kṀ22kDec 31
23%
chance
39
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Lula wins the BRAZIL president election
Democrats win control of house and senate in USA (resolves based on projected election results by ap)
And in NEW ZEALAND a prime minister is supplied by a left wing( member of labour or greens) party
All 3 must happen to resolve yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Market was about 62% when I bet; I've got it around 15%. Brazil and the US look done, so this comes down to NZ getting a Labour or Green PM. On RNZ's count the right has 67 of 130 seats (66 needed), and Polymarket has Hipkins at about 14%. https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/election-2026-results
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