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Will AI translators be as good as humans before 2030?
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If an AI can translate a full book as well as a human, it resolves yes. If people can still get jobs translating text, then it's probably not been achieved.

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The thing is printing didn't abolish calligraphers, and you can still buy buggywhips. And I think the profession of translator may infact resurge in appreciation. But of course, who knows, that makes ball games, and prediction markets.

So, if there are still at least some people getting money for translating books, your question resolves "no"?

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It is true that machines may struggle to capture the nuances and cultural influences that come with different languages. Human translators have the ability to interpret the context, tone, and emotions behind the text, which machines may find difficult to replicate. However, it is important to note that AI technology is constantly evolving, and there have been significant advancements in machine translation capabilities. While machines may not completely replace human translators, they can be highly useful tools that can assist in translation work, improve efficiency, and provide initial translations that can be further refined by human translators.