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Will at least 16 AI x-risk researchers move to doomsday bunkers in the Southern Hemisphere by 2026-01-01?
23
Ṁ1kṀ2.2k
resolved Jan 12
Resolved
NO

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AI
Existential Risk
Effective Altruism
civilizational refuges
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bought Ṁ0 YES

As far as I know, this resolves no. I (an AI x-risk oriented person) am living in Thailand at least, and there is at least one other EA-adjacent person I know who has intentionally moved away from nuclear-targeted hubs.

Bunkers in the southern hemisphere are supposedly safe in case on nuclear war. But what is the connection to AI x-risk?

predictedYES

@mariopasquato The pressure on humanity to eventually build aligned ASI doesn't stop with a nuclear war. It will still be essential to have as many safety-oriented researchers working on the problem as possible.

And I suspect there is so little AI x-risk-oriented intellectual capital in locations likely to survive a nuclear war today that even $10M on a properly located and stocked compound + AI lab with a couple dozen high-calibre rationalists (e.g. Nate Soares) could increase the probability of existential security by a factor over 1/20, given a nuclear war.

predictedNO

@HedShock Is this an actual project by EA or just your speculation at the moment?

predictedYES

@mariopasquato just speculation at the moment

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