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MANIFOLD
Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election?
49
Ṁ200Ṁ5.2k
Dec 31
25.00% or more52%

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Really weird that people thought he'd get 25%+

opened a Ṁ500 YES at 5% order

@Doyouwanttogotothemoon I've put some limit orders in. Feel free to come and fill them if you think it's implausible that he'll get 25%!

@Fion there's definitely >5% chance of extremely low turnout which would enable him to get 25%

@Doyouwanttogotothemoon agreed, so why is it "really weird" that other traders think there's a chance?

@Fion It's obviously above 5% but below the ludicrous 50-50 odds they were offering

I have to say the graphical representation of the limit orders particularly as to their valence is highly confusing.

opened a Ṁ3,500 YES at 42% order

Big limit order up!

@Jack1 I am undecided which is the funnier vote at this point.

bought Ṁ10 NO

Well done everyone, that's 10 active markets specifically about Binface