Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ270
Dec 31
6%
chance

This market will resolve to YES if Count Binface is officially declared the Member of Parliament (MP) for Clacton following the by-election triggered on July 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to NO if any other candidate is declared the winner, or if the election occurs and Count Binface does not win.


If Count Binface does not officially register or stand as a candidate in the Clacton by-election, this market will resolve to NO.

If the by-election is canceled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to N/A.

Market context
Elections
Elections: World
UK Politics
UK
UK Conservative Party
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
5% chance
Will Count Binface get between 25.00 and 40.00% of the vote in the clacton by election
+5% 1d50% chance
Which party will win the Clacton by-election?
What percentage of the vote will Count Binface win in the Clacton by-election?
Which party will win the Clacton by-election?
Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election?
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by election?
96% chance
If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote?
+3% 1d88% chance
Will Count Binface earn back his deposit (get >=5% of the vote) in the Clacton by-election?
95% chance
What % of the vote will Count Binface get in Clacton in 2026?
12.8