Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
7
Ṁ375Ṁ594Jan 3
20%
Texas
29%
Kansas
18%
South Carolina
7%
North Carolina
12%
Mississippi
3%
Alaska
1.3%
Iowa
1.3%
Ohio
1.8%
Louisiana
1.3%
Georgia
1.3%
Montana
1.3%
Florida
1.3%
Michigan
1.3%
New Hampshire
1.3%
Minnesota
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator/kxreddestdsen-27jan03
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If Texas is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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