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MANIFOLD
Closest Senate race in 2026?
1
Ṁ525Ṁ313
Jan 3
13%
Texas
11%
Iowa
6%
Ohio
5%
Alaska
5%
Maine
5%
Nebraska
4%
Kansas
4%
Michigan
4%
South Carolina
4%
Florida
4%
New Hampshire
4%
Montana
4%
Idaho
4%
Minnesota
4%
South Dakota
4%
Other
4%
Mississippi
4%
Louisiana
4%
Arkansas
3%
North Carolina

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race/kxclosestsenate-27jan03

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Resolves to the state that has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027

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