MANIFOLD
How many Nobel Prize Medals will Donald Trump have at the end of his term?
49
Ṁ1kṀ14k
2029
1.2%
0
89%
1
8%
2
2%
Other

In his physical possession or ownership, regardless of how he got them.

  • Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market is about the physical Nobel Prize medal(s) in Trump's possession or ownership, not the prize designation itself. The medal can be transferred or change hands regardless of who originally won the Nobel Prize.

Market context
US Politics
Trump
Trump's Second Term
Nobel Prizes
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So funny! He has one from the soccer org and now from the actual Peace winner?! is this TWO already???

@AnnCummings No.

You are talking about the medal or the prize? As the Nobel commitee declared, the prize cannot be handed over to someone else, it is bound to the one name. So this question would reolve 0 for the moment.

@DaniellqdC6 thanks for checking, this is about the medal; the physical thing that can be won or transferred or otherwise change hands. Sorry about the confusion, that could have been written better. For context, this was created in response to a question about whether Machado gave Trump her medal.

@EvanDaniel Can you still edit the question to refer to the medal, not the Prize?

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