MANIFOLD
Video of Chinese politician actually riding in a car in China with Tesla FSD, by mid 2026
3
Ṁ140Ṁ79
Jul 1
27%
chance

There has to be a video somewhere reachable, (even backed up) of a legit publicly approved report in china (i.e. it was legal at time of broadcast, on tiktok/cctv/tv/chinese internet) which contains a real official actually riding in a tesla car on a real road. (not closed track, not in an unmoving car, not a test, an actual car)

Market context
China
Tesla FSD
Tesla in China
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

I can't imagine this happening. It would be an incredible blow to the state. I would guess bait and switch, they give the "license" to encourage initial data sharing. Chinese side companies gather as much intel as possible. Then, something goes wrong and there is another barrier.

People are also trading

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
34% chance
When will a Tesla Robovan offer its first public, autonomous ride?
1/6/30
Top car company licenses Tesla autopilot by mid 2026 for US markets
16% chance
Top car company licenses Tesla autopilot by mid 2027 for US markets
37% chance
Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
70% chance
Tesla will begin offering a truly driverless taxi service to the general public in at least one city in 2026
73% chance
Will Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026
30% chance
When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU?
10/3/26
Will Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]
15% chance
Teslas allow YouTube or karaoke on the main screen while driving by end 2026
64% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy