Will Trump be removed or resign from office before 2029?
16
Ṁ100Ṁ1.2k2029
10%
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Resolves YES if Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029 via:
Impeachment and Senate conviction, OR
Resignation
Resolves NO if he completes his term (or leaves due to death or incapacitation).
Resolves N/A if the office of the presedency ceases to exist.
Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Trump is removed via the 25th Amendment and it lasts for the remainder of his term, the market resolves YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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