Will Trump be removed or resign from office before 2029?
20
Ṁ100Ṁ1.6k2029
11%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
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ALL
Resolves YES if Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029 via:
Impeachment and Senate conviction, OR
Resignation
Resolves NO if he completes his term (or leaves due to death or incapacitation).
Resolves N/A if the office of the presedency ceases to exist.
Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Trump is removed via the 25th Amendment and it lasts for the remainder of his term, the market resolves YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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