Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027?
Plus
3
Ṁ802026
47%
chance
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1W
1M
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I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy. This market will resolve YES if, at any point before 2027, it becomes impractical for me to obtain estradiol for at least one month. It will resolve N/A if I move to a different state before 2027 or if Texas ceases to exist.
Update 2024-16-12 (PST): Supply chain and financial issues will count as valid reasons for impractical access to estradiol. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@MingCat Usually this is intended to include end-of-the-world scenarios, but I think those would also count.
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