Will Trump's tariffs war be seen to have been a success by a plurality of Americans by 2026?
10
100Ṁ422Dec 31
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if by the end of 2026, a plurality (the largest group, though not necessarily a majority) of Americans view Donald Trump's tariff policies as a success according to credible national polls (I will take the median position if multiple polls address the same question). It resolves NO if a plurality view them as unsuccessful or if no credible polls exist by the resolution date. I will resolve the question based on the polls conducted closest to the closing date of the market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
5% chance
Will the resolution of "Does trump have any clue what he’s doing with his trade war ?" be controversial?
91% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
41% chance
Donald Trump reduces tariffs on China before 2026?
87% chance
Will trumps tarrifs / trade war cause a recession?
Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025
23% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
36% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
11% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
18% chance
What will happen to Trump's tariff war in 2025? (Add answers)
People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
5% chance
Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025
23% chance
Will the resolution of "Does trump have any clue what he’s doing with his trade war ?" be controversial?
91% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
36% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
41% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
11% chance
Donald Trump reduces tariffs on China before 2026?
87% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
18% chance
Will trumps tarrifs / trade war cause a recession?
What will happen to Trump's tariff war in 2025? (Add answers)