Will the next president (of the USA) last the full term? | Manifold

Will the next president (of the USA) last the full term?

18

1kṀ2922

2028

79%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will the next US president have to abdicate at any point until 2028?

Reasons could be death, Ill health etc.

(Note Biden dropping out pre-election does not count).

2024 US Presidential Election

Democratic Party

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Define "next president". Ex. you need a start date.

Does a temporary abdication count, for example due to an illness or injury?

Also, this market seems to close at a bizarre date: September 12, 2028

Are you aware of some sort of assassination plot or is this just when you'll decide that they made it close enough?

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