
Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term?
69
1.3kṀ47862029
76%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to "Yes" if the person elected in Nov. 2024 is serving as U.S. President on the day of the next inauguration (20 Jan. 2029).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Donald Trump serve full term as the President of the USA?
78% chance
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
17% chance
Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)
46% chance
Will the US President of the 2024-2028 term die while being the President?
17% chance
Will the final president of the United States be inaugurated on January 20th, 2025?
2% chance
From today to after the presidential inauguration in 2041, will the US have at least one president who is ___?
Will Joe Biden live through the next president's term end date?
22% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term
23% chance
Will Trump be elected President in 2024 / Will Trump serve time?