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MANIFOLD
who will win Santa Barbara County Board of Supervisors election, District 2 on June 2nd 2026
9
Ṁ100Ṁ937
Jun 3
8%
Laura Capps
86%
Elijah Mack
6%
other

I will check the official results myself to see who wins. If someone else runs and wins, it results to other.
https://ballotpedia.org/Laura_Karolina_Capps_(Santa_Barbara_County_Board_of_Supervisors_District_2,_California,_candidate_2026)

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bought Ṁ5 YES

Does the market resolve as “other” if neither candidate breaks 50% due to a few hundred write-ins? Then the election would go on to November.

bought Ṁ30 NO

This race will be closer than expected. Not a safe “Low-info race, bet on incumbent” thing. 35+% chance of Capps losing irl, may change by the time you see this comment. Vote accordingly. View Mack’s website and see how he performs in the upcoming debate for SBCS #2.

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