MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District
43
αΉ€12kαΉ€130k
Dec 31
54%
Scott Wiener
22%
Connie Chan
18%
Saikat Chakrabarti
1.7%
Nancy Pelosi
1.5%
Christine Pelosi
1.2%
Other
1%
London Breed

Resolves based on the election outcome per major media calls or secretary of state.

Follows the district number in the event of redistricting

Market context
Politics
US Politics
Elections
San Francisco
California
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20% to <2%

what news did I miss?

bought αΉ€250 NO

@robm Rumors Pelosi won’t seek reelection

bought αΉ€250 NO

Other is a dumb option on a poll where you can just add people.

@JimAusman lol, absolutely no one on this site understands how Other works

@JimAusman If you buy shares in "Other", then you get shares in any new answer listed in the future (In a dependent market like this). It explains this if you hover over the β“˜ next to "Other".

@DanielTilkin thanks for the explanation!

filled a αΉ€1,000 YES at 26% order

Scott Weiner announced he is running

https://bsky.app/profile/scottwiener.bsky.social/post/3m3s54mmgyk27

bought αΉ€5 YES

More people should bet on this, it seems important!

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