MANIFOLD
Summer of 2025: Major Unrest in the USA?
29
Ṁ1kṀ5.8k
resolved Sep 26
Resolved
NO

At end of Summer 2025, I will be reflecting, did the unrest occur? Maybe many riots in the cities, some looting here/there and the couple of fires. Perhaps the windows are being boarded up on the business. 🥵 Similar to the 2020, it would be a yes for this year.

Market context
US Politics
Economics
News
United States
US Democracy
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ400
2Ṁ135
3Ṁ123
4Ṁ83
5Ṁ80

People are also trading

Summer of 2026: Major Unrest in the USA?
63% chance
Will there be widespread political unrest in the US in the summer of 2026 similar to summer of 2020?
32% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036?
95% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
72% chance
Will a singular event cause mass civil unrest in the United States by 2029
45% chance
Will there be at least 1 death due to political unrest on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
23% chance
Will there be mass protests on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
7% chance
Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?
25% chance
Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027
55% chance
Will Violent Insurgencies Emerge in the United States before 2032?
57% chance
Sort by:

Nothing came of it. Americans are upset maybe a little bit, but they are still kept captivated by the screens and prefer the doomscrolling to the beat of the cardi b. We are still the comfortable comfy cozy nation, the administration will continue to push it to the limit!

We have it too good, we are so comfortable! We are close to becoming like the Russian slops.

@CryptoNeoLiberalist Totally inaccurate. How is this not unrest? & this is just ONE such event, there have been MANY all Summer & ongoing: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wV2V7zZBLcQ

bought Ṁ15 YES

Do the LA riots come under the definition of "major unrest" for this market? What revolves this to YES?

People are also trading

Summer of 2026: Major Unrest in the USA?
63% chance
Will there be widespread political unrest in the US in the summer of 2026 similar to summer of 2020?
32% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036?
95% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
72% chance
Will a singular event cause mass civil unrest in the United States by 2029
45% chance
Will there be at least 1 death due to political unrest on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
23% chance
Will there be mass protests on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
7% chance
Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?
25% chance
Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027
55% chance
Will Violent Insurgencies Emerge in the United States before 2032?
57% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy