List of national emergencies in the United States - Wikipedia
This market resolves NO if it has not happened and Trump leaves office.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
1,000takeoff.watch forecast: 18%. Trump has declared many emergencies but none centred on AI, and he calls AI worries "phony threats." The August grid emergency mentioned AI only in passing and did not resolve this market. A crisis, a China clash or a push for datacentres could still produce one before 2029.
Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot
@Conflux Do you mind if I self promote a similar market here?