Will Trump declare the Iran war to be won in the next month? | Manifold

Will Trump declare the Iran war to be won in the next month?

32

Ṁ1kṀ14k

Apr 11

75%

chance

5

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves YES if Trump makes a public statement declaring the Iran war to be won (or uses equivalent language such as "victory," "mission accomplished," or similar declarations of successful conclusion) before April 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on statements from Trump via social media, press conferences, interviews, or official White House communications. The market resolves NO if no such declaration is made by April 11, 2026.

Market context

Republican Party

Trump's Second Term

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https://www.reddit.com/r/InBitcoinWeTrust/s/aly572Rc12

Yes holders, we won. We won. It was over in the first hour.

Would his “practically over” comment have qualified? If not, where is the line?

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