MANIFOLD
Donald Trump life expectancy (in binary)
4
Ṁ160Ṁ298
2198
1%
128
99%
64
7%
32
83%
16
46%
8
50%
4
50%
2
47%
1
50%
0.5 (1/2)
50%
0.25 (1/4)
50%
0.125 (1/8)
50%
0.0625 (1/16)
50%
0.03125 (1/32)
50%
0.015625 (1/64)
50%
0.0078125 (1/128)
50%
0.00390625 (1/256)

For the sake of this question, Trump was born on June 14th, 1946 at 10:54 AM ET

A year is defined as 365.25 days.

The market for k = 2^n resolves as

Floor ([Trump's lifespan (in years)] (mod 2k) ÷ k)

Example calculation:

Suppose Trump lives until 3/5/2035.

That would be

88.723 years which in binary is

64 + 16 + 8 + 0.5 + 0.125 + 0.0625 + 0.03125 (1011000.10111001 in binary)

so the markets would resolve

128 - NO

64 - YES

32 - NO

16 - YES

8 - YES

4 - NO

2 - NO

1 - NO

0.5 - YES

0.25 - NO

0.125 - YES

0.0625 - YES

0.03125 - YES

0.015625 - NO

Market context
US Politics
Politics
Trump
Republican Party
Trump's Second Term
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