Brazil 2026: Will Lula get more votes than in 2022 (59,563,912) in any round?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ218Dec 31
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if that max total is strictly greater than 59,563,912.
Resolves NO if it is ≤ 59,563,912, or if Lula is not a registered presidential candidate on the 2026 ballot (i.e., not present in official TSE results as a presidential candidate)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
47% chance
Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
82% chance
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
66% chance
🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
46% chance
Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?
13% chance
Lula vencerá as eleicões presidenciais em 4 de Outubro de 2026?
57% chance
Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?
41% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
90% chance
Who will be on the ballot for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?