Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio Grande do Sul (RS)?

Question

This market predicts who will be elected Governor of the Brazilian state of Rio Grande do Sul in the 2026 general election.

The first round is scheduled for October 4, 2026. If no candidate receives the required majority of valid votes, a runoff will be held on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate officially declared elected Governor of Rio Grande do Sul by Brazil’s electoral authorities, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) or the Regional Electoral Court of Rio Grande do Sul (TRE-RS).

A victory in either the first round or the runoff qualifies.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Luciano Zucco, followed by Juliana Brizola and Gabriel Souza are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Jul 21, 2026).

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