Will DeepSeek V3.2 get >145 on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI)?
6
1kṀ626Jan 1
39%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://epoch.ai/benchmarks/eci
The gap between R1 and o3 at release was 8 points. Getting more than 145 points at release would mean V3.2 is at least as close to SOTA (Gemini 3 Pro) as R1 was, at release.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) before May 2026?
Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) in 2025?
will deepseek-v4 destroy all other models?
14% chance
V4 (DeepSeek) release date
will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?
12% chance
Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?
93% chance
Will there be an open replication of DeepSeek v3 for <$10m?
32% chance
When will Deepseek V4 be released?
3/19/26
Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?
5% chance
R2 (DeepSeek) release date