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MANIFOLD
Will the first room temperature superconductor be created by humans or AI?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ636
2030
AI81%

Resolves YES to AI if the majority 75%+ of work was done by an AI

Resolves YES to humans if the team who creates it does not disclose significant AI usage

  • Update 2025-04-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market Outcome for Non-Occurrence:

    • If no room temperature superconductor is created by 2031, the market will be resolved as N/A and neither outcome (AI or humans) applies.

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See a similar question:

/Guillaume/will-ai-play-a-substential-role-in

What happens to this market is no room temperature superconductor is created by 2031?

@VanessaKosoy I'd N/A it

Would researchers using a deep learning model to predict behaviors of different materials count as humans or AI?

@IsaacLinn If they said it did most of the work (+75%) then yeah

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