If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
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1kṀ18k2026
31%
chance
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If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
Update 2025-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Alternative Resolution Source
If 538 is not available, RCP will be used as the approval rating source.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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