If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
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Plus
36
Ṁ4118
2026
21%
chance

If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: 538 Job Approval average

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bought Ṁ200 YES

Based upon what poll?

@Balasar edit the closing date to be sometime after January 20th, 2026. Currently it's set to September 30th, 2024

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