Will Zohran Mamdani receive a majority of the votes cast in the November NYC mayoral election?

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resolved Nov 20

Resolved

YES

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Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani receives more than 50% of the total votes cast in the November 2025 New York City mayoral election. Official election results published by the New York City Board of Elections will serve as the definitive source for resolution. (en.wikipedia.org)

Market context

2025 NYC Elections

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Resolve?

Before or after the ranked choice process?

@KJW_01294 ranked choice is not used in the general election.

bought Ṁ10 YES

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Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025 iff Zohran wins? (Or less housing if he doesn't.)

-9% 1d55% chance

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected and then reelected as mayor of NY?

What policies will Zohran Mamdani implement?

NYC murder rate per 100,000 in 2029 if Zohran Mamdani elected mayor?

On June 30, will Mamdani have a positive net favorability among NYC residents per the latest Siena College poll?

How many NYC homes in 2029 if Mamdani elected mayor?

Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election?

Will NYC DSA endorse Mamdani's re-election?

Who will win the 2029 New York City Democratic mayoral primary?

Related questions

Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025 iff Zohran wins? (Or less housing if he doesn't.)

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected and then reelected as mayor of NY?

What policies will Zohran Mamdani implement?

NYC murder rate per 100,000 in 2029 if Zohran Mamdani elected mayor?

On June 30, will Mamdani have a positive net favorability among NYC residents per the latest Siena College poll?

How many NYC homes in 2029 if Mamdani elected mayor?

Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election?

Will NYC DSA endorse Mamdani's re-election?

Who will win the 2029 New York City Democratic mayoral primary?

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