Will my marriage with @RachelWeinberg last 5 years?
152
2.5kṀ71k
2029
92%
chance

Resolves YES if, on the 5 year anniversary of our wedding, we've been together more or less continuously.

Resolves NO if we end up not getting married for whatever reason, or if we separate for a significant amount of time (eg 3+ months) after getting married.

Some context for base rates:

  • We met in Aug 2022, officially started dating in Oct, moved in together Jan 2023, and got engaged in Mar. Planning for a wedding in July or Aug.

  • I'm 28 and have a master's; she's 20, on leave from college

  • We currently work together building manifund.org

  • My parents are still together; hers are divorced

  • We intend to have kids, plural

See also:

/RachelWeinberg/will-my-relationship-with-austin-la

/Austin/will-rachelweinberg-marry-me

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