Market resolves YES if, prior to January 1, 2026, the European Union officially announces or implements policies that explicitly weaken, suspend, invalidate, or refuse enforcement of intellectual property rights (patents, trademarks, copyrights, registered designs) originating from or registered in the United States.
Actions must be official EU-level measures (not just national or informal statements).
Actions must explicitly target IP rights registered or originating in the U.S.
Market resolves NO if no such EU policy is officially announced or enacted before January 1, 2026.
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@Shai already have some no. I'm at 5-10% because nothing ever happens. But crazy that this is on the table, I was at 1% in January.
@Ehrenmann From what I was able to find, this was only done in developing countries and often not very explicitly as a policy, rather just as a lack of strict enforcement. Also, implementing new EU wide laws is too slow, they won't be done with something like that in a year.