Will the EU regulate geo-blocking of copyright protected content by EOY 2027?
Will the EU regulate geo-blocking of copyright protected content by EOY 2027?
11
1kṀ98
2027
52%
chance

Introduction

The 2018 Geo-blocking regulation prohibits discrimination based on location that it deems unjustified. However,

Services where the main feature is the provision of access to and use of copyright protected content, or the selling of copyright protected works in an intangible form, such as music streaming services, e-books, online games and software, are excluded from the scope of the regulation. But this will be subject to a review by the Commission.

The summary of this review: https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/news/commission-publishes-its-short-term-review-geo-blocking-regulation

For these reasons, the Commission will launch a stakeholder dialogue with the audiovisual sector in order to discuss concrete ways to foster the circulation of, and improve consumers’ access to audiovisual content across the EU, before considering any follow-up measures.

Criteria

Extending the geo-blocking regulation to some types of copyright content would naturally resolve this yes.

Implementing some form of licensing single market with the goal of improving access to copyright content would also resolve this yes.

I'll not bet on this market. I'll try my best to answer any hypotheticals asked in the comments and update this description with clarifications. I only commit to resolving based on the description.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules