Will at least one 2026 FIFA World Cup host nation reach the quarterfinals?
26
Ṁ100Ṁ1.3kJul 9
74%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve. Do not bet on this market if that is going to bother you.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which teams will make it to the quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Which teams will win their group at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Which teams will make it to the knockout stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Which teams will make it to the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Which teams will win at least one match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Which countries will qualify for the round of 32 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will the USA reach the quarter-finals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50% chance
Will USMNT reach the quarterfinals of World Cup 2026?
52% chance
Which teams will make it to the final at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Which scores will happen at the 2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup?