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MANIFOLD
Will AI whipe out humanity in 2029?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ390
2027
10%
chance

This market resolves N/A on Jan 1st, 2028. All trades on this market will be rolled back on Jan 1st, 2028. However, up until that point, any profit or loss you make on this market will be reflected in your current wealth; which means that purely profit-interested traders can make temporary profits on this market, and use them to fund other permanent bets that may be profitable; via correctly anticipating future shifts in prices among people who do bet their beliefs on this important question, buying low from them and selling high to them.

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The description copied off this market: /EliezerYudkowsky/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-by-2030-r

@StepanBakhmarin Thats correct. I copied bc i have no experience in how to describe the market and how all of that works. I just wanted to set it up the same way bc I have the same intention of setting up a market that could have a realistic propablity as a result bc there would be no incentive to buy yes-shares if the market only resolves when everyone is dead.

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