Resolves to YES if, according to my judgement, Gemini 3 Pro beats ChatGPT5 Thinking in math capabilities.

I will consider both my personal experience (whether it's better at solving my private set of difficult math problems), and public opinion (whether math researchers find Gemini 3 Pro more useful than they found ChatGPT5 Thinking - we should see posts like the one by Scott Aaronson).

Note that I'm not comparing the most expensive versions of the models (ChatGPT 5 Pro and the Deep Think version of Gemini 3 if one exists), only the models that are accessible through a ~20$ monthly subscription.

Resolves N/A if no model by the name "Gemini 3 Pro" is released by the end of 2026.

I will not trade in this market.