By EOY 2050, will humanity have sent a probe to another star system and received meaningful info?
20
Ṁ1kṀ2.4k2050
12%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will we send a spacecraft/probe or Jose Luis ricon to the proxima centauri/alpha centauri system by 2065?
29% chance
Will any human spacecraft reach another star system by the end of the 21st century?
50% chance
Will humans make contact with intelligent extraterrestrial life by 2050?
5% chance
Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2075?
43% chance
By EOY 2100, will humanity have sent a probe to another star system and received meaningful info?
48% chance
Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2100?
72% chance
Will we send humans to other stars by 2100?
43% chance
Will we discover extraterrestrial life (past or present) anywhere in the solar system by EOY 2100?
57% chance
Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050?
2% chance
Will a self-replicating space probe capable of exploring and utilizing resources be created before 2040?
10% chance
Sort by:
Even a Project Daedalus fusion rocket launched today would reach the nearest star by 2059, missing it by 9 years.
Perhaps Breakthrough Starshot can make it in time, but they have, like 1.5 years remaining for development, assembly and launch.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we send a spacecraft/probe or Jose Luis ricon to the proxima centauri/alpha centauri system by 2065?
29% chance
Will any human spacecraft reach another star system by the end of the 21st century?
50% chance
Will humans make contact with intelligent extraterrestrial life by 2050?
5% chance
Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2075?
43% chance
By EOY 2100, will humanity have sent a probe to another star system and received meaningful info?
48% chance
Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2100?
72% chance
Will we send humans to other stars by 2100?
43% chance
Will we discover extraterrestrial life (past or present) anywhere in the solar system by EOY 2100?
57% chance
Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050?
2% chance
Will a self-replicating space probe capable of exploring and utilizing resources be created before 2040?
10% chance