MANIFOLD
Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
37
Ṁ1kṀ2.3k
2039
30%
chance

Policy criteria for YES resolution:

  1. Is a formal legislation

  2. Is nationwide (not a regional trial)

  3. Is a "full UBI" (covers all basic living expenses of the average person)

  4. Is stable (not a one-off payment; planned for at least 5+ years into the future)

  5. Occurs before Jan 1, 2040 EST

If no policy satisfying all of the above conditions are implemented, the market will resolve NO.

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