Background

Germany suspended mandatory military service in 2011. Recent discussions about reintroducing some form of military service have emerged due to growing security concerns in Europe and the need to strengthen the Bundeswehr (German Armed Forces). The German government has been exploring various models to increase military recruitment and readiness.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the official policy implemented by the German government regarding military service before January 1, 2031:

• "Yes for all men" resolves YES if Germany implements mandatory military service specifically for male citizens

• "Yes for everyone" resolves YES if Germany implements mandatory military service for all citizens regardless of gender

• "Yes, but voluntary with mandatory registration" resolves YES if Germany implements a system where:

  • Military service remains voluntary

  • BUT there is mandatory registration/questionnaire completion for some or all citizens

Each option will resolve NO if it does not occur before 2031.

! -! A mandatory service with the option to do civil service instead will count as YES !-!

If Germany implements a different system than those described in the options, all options will resolve NO.

Considerations

• Current plans indicate a move toward mandatory registration with voluntary service, rather than full conscription

• The implementation timeline for any new system could be affected by:

  • Changes in the European security situation

  • Political shifts following German elections

  • Budget constraints

  • Public opinion and potential legal challenges

• Update 2025-11-01 (PST): - Resolution will occur as soon as a policy passes the legislative process, not strictly by January 1, 2031. (AI summary of creator comment)