When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
24
Ṁ1kṀ6.9k2027
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
14%
Before July 1, 2026
70%
Before Jan 1, 2027
35%
2027 or later
As of March 19 2024, Rocket Lab is publicly targeting a launch in 2024.
As of May 2024, Rocket Lab is now targeting 2025.
Answers will resolve as YES if Neutron lifts off and clears the pad before the respective dates given. A successful remainder of the flight is not necessary. The flight does not need to be on an orbital trajectory.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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RocketLab did announce last night that they will be targeting earliest Q1 2026 for a neutron launch. Is this enough to resolve Jan 1st 2026?
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