Will there be a police named suspect related to the death of Joshua Dean (2nd Boeing whistleblower) by the end of 2025?
Will there be a police named suspect related to the death of Joshua Dean (2nd Boeing whistleblower) by the end of 2025?
13
1kṀ9752026
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will there be a police named suspect related to the death of John Barnett (Boeing whistleblower) by the end of 2025?
22% chance
Will I belive any Boeing whistleblowers were murdered for whistleblowing at >20% probability at the end of 2025?
10% chance
By 2027, will it ever become media consensus that a Boeing Whistleblower died by foul play?
7% chance
Will the killer of Bryan Johnson be arrested by the end of 2025?
93% chance
By EOY 2024, will any Boeing whistleblower publicly state they are concerned for their life ?
4% chance
Will there be an assassination of an American politician by the end of 2025?
20% chance
By EOY 2024, will it be publicly known that any Boeing whistleblower has been denied witness protection ?
1% chance
Will any court rule that foul play was involved in the death of any Boeing whistleblower?
20% chance
By EOY 2024, will it be publicly known that any Boeing whistleblower has requested witness protection ?
3% chance
Do you think there is a probability of at least 50% that Boeing is killing whistleblowers ?
POLL