Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled?
132
1.1kṀ27k2041
89%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To determine if AGI is achieved we will use a combination of other markets / mainstream news / Manifold poll if need be
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Sam Altman be alive on the one year anniversary of strong AGI being credibly announced?
81% chance
Will Sam Altman be killed by AI?
9% chance
Sam Altman right about AGI by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization?
50% chance
Will the first AGI be built by Sam Altman?
23% chance
Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?
65% chance
Will Sam Altman raise at least one trillion dollars for an AI project?
4% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI when it releases AGI?
58% chance
Will Sam Altman still be alive by EOY 2045?
69% chance
Will Sam Altman reference OpenAI achieving AGI in five tweets prior to the official announcement?
22% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Sam Altman be alive on the one year anniversary of strong AGI being credibly announced?
81% chance
Will Sam Altman be killed by AI?
9% chance
Sam Altman right about AGI by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization?
50% chance
Will the first AGI be built by Sam Altman?
23% chance
Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?
65% chance
Will Sam Altman raise at least one trillion dollars for an AI project?
4% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI when it releases AGI?
58% chance
Will Sam Altman still be alive by EOY 2045?
69% chance
Will Sam Altman reference OpenAI achieving AGI in five tweets prior to the official announcement?
22% chance