Will apple sell a computer with cell phone connectivity by the end of 2026?
Will apple sell a computer with cell phone connectivity by the end of 2026?
8
100Ṁ822027
63%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if it is released and available to buy in the USA for consumers
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will apple sell a computer with cell phone connectivity by the end of 2025?
38% chance
Will apple sell a computer with cell phone connectivity by the end of 2027?
89% chance
Will Apple release a laptop with OLED display by the end of 2025?
29% chance
Will Apple release a folding phone before 2026?
5% chance
Will Apple release a 20" Macbook by the end of 2026?
15% chance
Will Apple release a smart ring wearable product by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will Apple announce a Vision Pro 2 by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will Apple announce a smart ring wearable product by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Apple reintroduce the iPhone Mini before the end of 2025
4% chance
Will Apple announce a foldable phone by Dec 31, 2025?
4% chance