Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?
Plus
14
Ṁ3052031
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The first was The Three-Body Problem by Cixin Liu (translated by Ken Liu) in 2015
Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hugo_Award_for_Best_Novel
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
40% chance
Which novels will be *nominated* for a Hugo award in 2025
Which novellas will be *nominated* for a Hugo award in 2025
Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?
15% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
75% chance
Will George R. R. Martin ever win the Hugo Award for Best Novel?
34% chance
Will a movie that has at least some AI-generated dialogue win an Oscar by EOY 2028?
26% chance
Will Sam Hughes (qntm) win a Hugo Award by end 2026
38% chance
Will Esperanto be dethroned as the most widely spoken conlang by 2030?
27% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
70% chance