MANIFOLD
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
307
Ṁ61kṀ300k
Dec 28
98%
Andrew Tate
97%
A large asteroid, plummeting towards Earth's gravity well
96%
Cersei Lannister
94%
Dylan Klebold
94%
Trump's attempted assassin
92%
A severe case of ulcerative colitis
91%
Kang and/or Kodos
88%
Albert Speer
88%
Ibrahim abu Bakr Awad Ibrahim Ali al-Badri al-Baghdadi
88%
A random citizen with diagnosed paranoid schizophrenia and a dependence on stimulants
87%
Steve Bannon
85%
A randomly-chosen prisoner in the US carceral system, sentenced for life
85%
Ivan the terrible
84%
Ron Unz
82%
The Grim Reaper
82%
Otto Skorzeny
81%
Karl Donitz
80%
A time traveler who can only go back in time to kill Hitler if he isn't busy being president
77%
Josh Hawley
76%
Christoper Rufo

High Percent answer = Manifold would vote for Trump instead of this person
Low Percent answer = Manifold would vote for this person instead of Trump

Will be resolved by a poll for each option when the market closes.

See other for more options: /strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma-174d8cf13790

Market context
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@strutheo when are the polls happening? Thanks

@Jack1 looks like he did a lot of these polls and then got bored and started making heaven or hell polls instead

When can we expect polls?

Based on the last year I think that some of these answers might be different, knowing what we know now.

@redcathode Is this the heavy metal band of the 1980s or the 14th century mythical figure?

That's Senator Jar Jar Binks to you!

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 51% order

@strutheo I'd rather have a presidential maniac than a corpse.

@Robincvgr Could you elaborate on the ways they are well-meaning? Even people who support oppression of other groups as intensely as this one is antisemetic often consider themselves to be be "well-meaning" even if I would strongly disagree on their definition of "well"

sold Ṁ360 NO

It says I still have like 1,400 Mana tied up in this market but I can't find what I bought in order to sell it lmao, what do I do??

@Lexer That could be counting options that already resolved.

@strutheo To be clear, all questions resolve YES/NO, not to poll percentage? And if the poll is tied, does it resolve 50%?

@yetforever correct, they only resolve yes or no

bought Ṁ500 YES

@strutheo Resolves YES

[deleted]

reposted

I’m surprised no one has voted on Qin Shi Huang yet

Just created a similar market but versus yourself instead of Trump

As founder and CEO of openasteroidimpact.org, I strongly contest the current top choice.

already did giuliani, want to pick another @StochasticParrot ? i renamed it placeholder

Heads up guys, these active options were unironically literal Nazis (or 'just' in the Nazi Wehrmacht):

  • Karl Donitz

  • Erich von Manstein

  • Albert Speer

  • Otto Skorzeny

  • Hasso von Manteuffel

  • Erwin Rommel

and these options were suspiciously Nazi-adjacent/enabling:

  • Paul Von Hindenburg

  • Erich Ludendorff

  • Jozef Tiso

  • Phillipe Petain

  • Miklos Horthy

  • Franz von Papen

and these options were confederates:

  • James Longstreet

Manstein and von Manteuffel were not Nazis, the latter was moreover a moderating influence

Erich von Manstein:

Hasso von Manteuffel:

seems sus 🤔

bought Ṁ25 NO

Being in the wehrmacht does not imply being a Nazi

bought Ṁ20 YES

May I have permission to add this to my out-of-context quotes market? (if option creation costs become affordable ever again lol)

lol yes good one

Sure

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