MANIFOLD
🥇Which three countries will win the most Gold medals at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
28
Ṁ325Ṁ1.3k
Feb 25
98%
United States
94%
Norway
88%
Germany
35%
China
34%
Sweden
25%
Canada
17%
Italy
16%
South Korea
16%
Switzerland
15%
Japan
15%
Authorized Neutral Athletes (permitted individuals from Russia/Belarus)
14%
Netherlands
11%
France
11%
Finland
10%
Czechia
7%
Hungary
7%
Great Britain
6%
Australia
5%
New Zealand
5%
Egypt
Market context
Sports
Olympics
Athletics
Italy
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You mean 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics
@strutheo

bought Ṁ1 NO

The options currently don't include some countries that will likely be among the top 3, e.g., Norway (which had most gold medals in 2018 and 2022).

@strutheo Just to be sure: The question is really "which three countries" and not "which three of these countries", right? So if the top three are Norway, China and USA, then China and USA resolve to Yes and everything else resolves to No?

@strutheo How are ties resolved? By resolving to probabilities?

@strutheo it’s 2026!

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