🍾What will happen in January 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
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Ṁ900Ṁ6.8kFeb 1
99%
trump leaves usa at least once
99%
at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it
99%
Sam Altman still CEO through end of month
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
98.2%
usa bombs or missle strikes syria
96%
large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement
95%
noam chomsky alive until end of month
68%
NASDAQ hits an all time high
53%
twitter/x banned in another country (announced, even if it can be circumvented)
51%
earthquake 7.0+ magnitude
46%
nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain
34%
major tech company merger/acquisition announced
28%
trump posts on twitter/x ten or more times
26%
earthquake 7.5 magnitude or higher
24%
Volcano dormant for half a year erupts
24%
$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month
21%
nVidia becomes the largest company in the history of the world (by market capitalization) at least once
20%
usa bombs or missle strikes lebanon
18%
New Half-Life game announced
14%
Anthropic or Meta release a new model
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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