🪀What Toys will make it into the Toy Hall of Fame before the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]
🪀What Toys will make it into the Toy Hall of Fame before the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]
22
1.4kṀ14822041
86%
Pokemon cards
73%
minecraft
71%
Tamagotchi
68%
Pogo stick
66%
Operation board game
58%
PEZ Dispenser
57%
Ken doll (barbie)
42%
Beyblades
34%
Hess trucks
34%
Crazy Bones / Go Gos
18%
Metal-tipped lawn darts
Resolved
YESMy Little Pony
Resolved
YESTransformers
Resolved
N/AGameboy
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bought Ṁ101 NO9mo
@TrickyDuck Y'arr, that be gallows humor, matey.
(Hopefully april fools day jokes don't count for this market)
It was either that, or the plastic bag from a dry cleaner.
Maybe at Christmas I’ll add a Red Ryder BB gun. (“Yule shoot your eye out!”). 🤣
reposted
The Fisher-Price popper, a push toy that encourages babies to walk, was chosen by fans who were invited to celebrate the Toy Hall of Fame's 25th anniversary by voting for one of five toys that had made it to the finals more than once but were passed over. The rest of the so-called “Forgotten Five” included the pogo stick, My Little Pony, PEZ dispensers and Transformers. Baseball cards, Cabbage Patch Kids and NERF toys were voted in in the usual way from among a field of 12 finalists, with input from a panel of experts.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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