Update 2025-07-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the condition for a YES resolution: It is sufficient for Bitcoin's price to be at or above $120k at any point during 2026. The price does not need to dip below $120k and cross the threshold again within 2026 for the market to resolve YES.

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 25% chance (10 traders, as of May 7, 2026).

If Bitcoin reaches $120k before the end of 2025, will it reach $120k again in 2026?

If Bitcoin reaches $120k before the end of 2025, will it reach $120k again in 2026?

Ṁ100Ṁ1.2k

Dec 14

25%

chance

ALL

Update 2025-07-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the condition for a YES resolution:
- It is sufficient for Bitcoin's price to be at or above $120k at any point during 2026.
- The price does not need to dip below $120k and cross the threshold again within 2026 for the market to resolve YES.

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