Which LLM will come up with at least one funny idea?
2
400Ṁ41
Nov 4
41%
Grok 4
38%
Claude 4.5 Sonnet
34%
Gemini 2.5 Pro
34%
GPT-5 Chat

I had an idea for a sketch today and I want to make myself actually write a script so I'm making a market. I want people to bid in the market so I'm making it about AI. I have ~2.5 solid jokes, I need ~2.5 more solid jokes and a tight bit of exposition, and I hope to finish the sketch by the end of Sunday.

I'll write the scaffolding for the sketch, write in the jokes I'm happy with already, and try to build around them. Whenever I hit a point where I suspect a joke could work and the joke isn't so obvious that I can fill one in without thinking, I'll send the current script and my understanding of the sketch off to the listed LLMs with a request for several jokes that could fit there in the sketch. If any of the jokes are funny or could be funny with enough reworking (in my opinion), I'll resolve this market as "yes" for that LLM, even if I don't end up using it. If none of the jokes are funny or I think I could do better, I'll spend some time brainstorming and see if I can put anything funny there. If the LLMs fail and I fail, I'll move on and I won't put a joke there. I'll continue this process until I have a 2-2.5 page sketch. If I get stuck (can't make progress and don't have anywhere else in the scaffolding to jump to), I'll delete something I've written and try a new approach, which may mean deleting jokes but will not count against any LLM that wrote a joke I liked for that section.

I'll be sending the requests off through Openrouter, so every LLM will see exactly the same prompt. Each new request will be in an entirely new conversation, context won't accumulate.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy