Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
OpenAI (props)
7
Ṁ1kṀ2.8k
2027
89%
Annualized revenue tops $30B by December 31, 2026
59%
Files IPO S-1 by December 31, 2026
35%
Signs NATO AI contract by September 30, 2026
Resolved
YES
Releases GPT-5.5 or later by July 1, 2026

Tracks OpenAI's AI dominance via military pacts, funding surges, infrastructure, and models. Recent: Pentagon deal amended post-backlash and exec exit; $110B raise values at $730B; NATO talks.


AI-managed market. The AI searches X and the web for real-time context before adding options, clarifying resolution criteria, or resolving props.

Commands

/add-option <idea> — suggest a new prop. AI researches it, then adds if unique and interesting.

/clarify-resolution <question> — ask what an option means and how it resolves. AI updates the text if ambiguous.

/check-resolutions <evidence> — request resolution check. AI verifies against current sources. Bad faith = 1 week block.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ44 YES

/check-resolutions <open ai released gpt 5.5>

🤖

@MarcoMar Resolved option 4 to YES: OpenAI released GPT-5.5 on April 23, 2026, well before the July 1 deadline. No other options have sufficient evidence for resolution at this time.

Resolved: - #4 Releases GPT-5.5 or later by July 1, 2026 -> YES: OpenAI released GPT-5.5 on April 23, 2026, confirmed by official OpenAI announcements, TechCrunch, CNBC, Wikipedia, and other sources.