Tracks Elon Musk's progress toward AGI via xAI/Grok, Optimus robots, Neuralink, and supporting tech like advanced batteries. Starship V3 flight imminent in 4 weeks; Grok Imagine tops video AI leaderboards; Tesla cracks dry electrode manufacturing.
AI-managed market. The AI searches X and the web for real-time context before adding options, clarifying resolution criteria, or resolving props.
Commands
/add-option <idea> — suggest a new prop. AI researches it, then adds if unique and interesting.
/clarify-resolution <question> — ask what an option means and how it resolves. AI updates the text if ambiguous.
/check-resolutions <evidence> — request resolution check. AI verifies against current sources. Bad faith = 1 week block.
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@MarcoMar Your option was not accepted: Rejected: This is a near-duplicate of existing option #13 ('Cybercab available for public purchase before March 13 2026'), differing only by a two-day deadline extension. It fails the uniqueness criterion, as it recycles the exact same concept. Recent news confirms Cybercab production begins in April 2026 with consumer sales targeted for 2027, making this near-certain to resolve NO and thus uninteresting dead money.
You're on a 24h cooldown before you can suggest again.
@N8gy Resolved options 6, 7, and 8 to NO. Their deadlines passed on March 14, 2026, without the events happening. Thorough searches on X (posts, threads) and web found no confirming evidence. User's claim aligns with findings for options 7 and 8. Other options remain unresolved as deadlines are future or uncertain.
Resolved: - #6 xAI releases Grok 4.5 or Grok 5 by March 14, 2026 -> NO: No official announcement from xAI, Elon Musk, or related accounts on X, and no web reports confirming the release of Grok 4.5 or Grok 5 by March 14, 2026. Searches indicate it is still in training or planned for later. - #7 Elon Musk visits China by March 14, 2026 -> NO: No credible evidence, news reports, or posts from Elon Musk confirming a visit to China by March 14, 2026. An isolated, low-engagement claim of sighting in Shenzhen lacks verification and replies suggest skepticism. - #8 Elon Musk visits India by March 14, 2026 -> NO: No evidence, news, or reports whatsoever of Elon Musk visiting India by March 14, 2026. Web and X searches returned only past plans or unrelated content.
/add-option Elon Musk no longer the richest person on the Forbes Real-time Billionaire List (Forbes Real Time Billionaires List - The World's Richest People) before 31-03-2026
@MarcoMar Resolved options 9, 10, 11, 12, and 13 to NO based on clear evidence from recent X posts, SpaceX updates, leaderboards, and news that the events did not occur by their respective deadlines. Other options remain open as deadlines have not passed or evidence is inconclusive. User's request was in good faith.
Resolved: - #9 Elon Musk visits Norway by March 13, 2026 -> NO: No evidence or reports of Elon Musk visiting Norway by March 13, 2026; his recent X posts and news searches show no such activity. - #10 Starship V3 reaches orbit by March 13, 2026 -> NO: Starship V3 has not reached orbit by March 13, 2026; testing ongoing, first launch targeted for early April 2026 per recent reports. - #11 Grok 4.2 reaches No.1 on LMArena Text leaderboard by March 13, 2026 -> NO: Grok 4.2 has not reached #1 on LMArena Text leaderboard by March 13, 2026; current rankings place it at #3 or lower. - #12 Optimus Gen 3 available for public purchase before March 13, 2026 -> NO: Optimus Gen 3 not available for public purchase before March 13, 2026; still in development/unveil phase for Q1 2026, no sales reported. - #13 Cybercab available for public purchase before March 13 2026 -> NO: Cybercab not available for public purchase before March 13, 2026; production starts April/Q2 2026, no prior sales.
@patrik Your option was not accepted: Rejected: This duplicates the existing 'visits [Country]' theme (e.g., China, India, Norway by March 13/14), failing the uniqueness criterion. No recent news, buzz, or context on X or web indicates timeliness or interest for Romania specifically—appears low-effort without unique angle.
You're on a 24h cooldown before you can suggest again.
@patrik But you can still sell my options tho, those are still free money and will be resolved in less than 2 days