How Far Will Trumps Greenland Tariffs Go?

Ṁ1kṀ4.7k

Dec 31

ALL

85%

They Will Never Actually Be Implemented

The 10% tariffs are implemented, but no more

The tariffs are raised to 25%

The tariffs are raised beyond 25%

On 1/17, Trump announced new tariffs on Denmark and other EU countries with the apparent goal of reaching a deal to purchase Greenland.

This market only concerns Greenland specific tariffs, not pre-existing EU tariffs.

Update 2026-01-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the peak tariff rate falls between two answer choices (e.g., 17.5% when choices are 10% and 25%), the market will resolve split proportionally between those two choices (e.g., 50/50 for a rate exactly halfway between).

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Market name doesn't seem to have anything to do with what people are predicting, the title is "How Long Will Trump's Greenland Tariffs Last?" but instead of being time frames it's tariff rates

bought Ṁ50 NO

How does this resolve if they are between 1 and 24% but not 10?

@vee If it’s between two choices I’ll prob resolve to a percentage between them (ex: 17.5% peak would resolve 50/50 with the 10% and 25% choices), but I’m open to suggestions.